Slovan Bratislava 1-1 Trencin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovakia Super League, 5 Oct 2024

📅05/10/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.32
Draw
22%
4.81
Away
23%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.51
Over 2.5
60%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.81
No
50%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
5.41
2-3 Goals
40%
2.0
4-5 Goals
26%
2.67
6+ Goals
12%
6.53
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
20%
X/2
11%
X/X
7%
2/1
7%
2/2
7%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
71%
-16.5pp
22%
Draw
18%
+4.0pp
23%
Away Win
11%
+12.4pp
40%
Under 2.5
36%
+4.1pp
60%
Over 2.5
64%
-4.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.5pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Slovan Bratislava EU Bookmakers 76%
Head to Head
AWAY Trencin EU Bookmakers 14%
+1% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -1%
1.99/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/1.58
+25% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / -2%
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
420 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 75%
32.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.5
20.0 Crosses 12.8
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Slovan Bratislava
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Trencin
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
2.48 xG 1.00
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
319 Passes 326
78% Pass Accuracy 78%
27 Box Touches 24
14 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 1
25.02.2024 Trencin Trencin 0-2 HT 0-0 Slovan Bratislava Slovan Bratislava SLVK
08.10.2023 Slovan Bratislava Slovan Bratislava 2-0 HT 1-0 Trencin Trencin SLVK
09.10.2022 Trencin Trencin 4-0 HT 2-0 Slovan Bratislava Slovan Bratislava SLVK
23.07.2022 Slovan Bratislava Slovan Bratislava 4-0 HT 1-0 Trencin Trencin SLVK
19.04.2022 Slovan Bratislava Slovan Bratislava 2-1 HT 2-0 Trencin Trencin SLOVK
07.04.2022 Trencin Trencin 0-0 HT 0-0 Slovan Bratislava Slovan Bratislava SLOVK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Slovan Bratislava
1-1
AWAY Trencin
1.76 xG 1.33
64% Ball Possession 36%
31 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 7
14 Corners 1
452 Passes 214
86% Pass Accuracy 76%
67 Box Touches 11
36 Crosses 8
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Slovan Bratislava vs Trencin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Slovan Bratislava and Trencin couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Slovan Bratislava at 55% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Slovan Bratislava had 64% of the ball to Trencin's 36%, shots finished 31-14, expected goals 1.76 to 1.33.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Slovan Bratislava had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Slovan Bratislava and 0.83 for Trencin.

What was the final score of Slovan Bratislava vs Trencin?

Slovan Bratislava 1-1 Trencin in the Slovakia Super League on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Slovan Bratislava vs Trencin?

Before kick-off our model rated a Slovan Bratislava win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Slovan Bratislava 55%, draw 22%, Trencin 23%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Slovan Bratislava) ✗ Over 2.5
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