Podbrezova 0-4 Spartak Trnava — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovakia Super League, 5 Oct 2024

📅05/10/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.67
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
36%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.78
Over 2.5
44%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.75
No
51%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.04
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
3.84
6+ Goals
11%
16.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.04 — our 29% vs market 27.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
16%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
34%
+3.6pp
27%
Draw
28%
-1.1pp
36%
Away Win
38%
-2.5pp
56%
Under 2.5
52%
+3.3pp
44%
Over 2.5
48%
-3.3pp
49%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.9pp
51%
BTTS No
47%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Podbrezova EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Spartak Trnava EU Bookmakers 42%
-30% / -30% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -19%
1.14/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.47/1.08
-39% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +7%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
284 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 73%
25.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.2
17.7 Crosses 20.1
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Podbrezova
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Spartak Trnava
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
0.73 xG 2.15
57% Ball Possession 43%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
412 Passes 277
83% Pass Accuracy 76%
19 Box Touches 25
12 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
17.04.2024 Podbrezova Podbrezova 0-0 HT 0-0 Spartak Trnava Spartak Trnava SLOVK
03.04.2024 Spartak Trnava Spartak Trnava 1-0 HT 1-0 Podbrezova Podbrezova SLOVK
26.11.2023 Podbrezova Podbrezova 1-2 HT 1-0 Spartak Trnava Spartak Trnava SLVK
20.08.2023 Spartak Trnava Spartak Trnava 2-0 HT 1-0 Podbrezova Podbrezova SLVK
13.05.2023 Podbrezova Podbrezova 0-3 HT 0-1 Spartak Trnava Spartak Trnava SLVK
11.03.2023 Spartak Trnava Spartak Trnava 6-1 HT 3-0 Podbrezova Podbrezova SLVK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Podbrezova
0-4
AWAY Spartak Trnava
0.24 xG 1.25
56% Ball Possession 44%
9 Total Shots 14
1 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 3
323 Passes 241
77% Pass Accuracy 74%
23 Box Touches 24
11 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Podbrezova vs Spartak Trnava
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Spartak Trnava ran out comfortable winners over Podbrezova 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (37% / 27% / 36%) promised a tight game; Spartak Trnava found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Podbrezova had 56% of the ball to Spartak Trnava's 44%, shots finished 9-14, expected goals 0.24 to 1.25.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Spartak Trnava led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Podbrezova and 2.33 for Spartak Trnava.

What was the final score of Podbrezova vs Spartak Trnava?

Podbrezova 0-4 Spartak Trnava in the Slovakia Super League on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Podbrezova vs Spartak Trnava?

Before kick-off our model rated a Podbrezova win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Podbrezova 37%, draw 27%, Spartak Trnava 36%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Podbrezova), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Podbrezova) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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