Kiboga Young 0-4 URA — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uganda - Premier League, 5 Oct 2024

📅05/10/2024 · 🕒16:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
2.27
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
44%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.86
Over 2.5
41%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.73
No
52%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
8%
X/2
13%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
23%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
40%
-12.8pp
29%
Draw
26%
+2.6pp
44%
Away Win
34%
+10.1pp
59%
Under 2.5
50%
+9.4pp
41%
Over 2.5
50%
-9.4pp
48%
BTTS Yes
54%
-5.8pp
52%
BTTS No
46%
+5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kiboga Young EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY URA EU Bookmakers 37%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +26% / +103%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
378 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kiboga Young
0-4
AWAY URA
62% Ball Possession 38%
8 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Kiboga Young vs URA
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

URA swept aside Kiboga Young 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-3.

Just as the model leaned, our model had URA as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Kiboga Young had 62% of the ball to URA's 38%, shots finished 8-12.

What was the final score of Kiboga Young vs URA?

Kiboga Young 0-4 URA in the Uganda - Premier League on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kiboga Young vs URA?

Before kick-off our model rated an URA win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Kiboga Young 27%, draw 29%, URA 44%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (URA), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (URA) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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