Vipers 2-1 SC Villa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uganda - Premier League, 5 Oct 2024

📅05/10/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.0
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
26%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.68
Over 2.5
45%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.9
No
50%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
13%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
46%
-1.5pp
29%
Draw
27%
+1.9pp
26%
Away Win
27%
-0.4pp
55%
Under 2.5
56%
-0.7pp
45%
Over 2.5
44%
+0.7pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+1.1pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vipers EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY SC Villa EU Bookmakers 30%
-40% / -40% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
1.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.42/1.01
-17% / -60% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -48% / +17%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
318 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 262 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vipers
1W-1D-0L
AWAY SC Villa
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
7 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
09.04.2024 SC Villa SC Villa 0-0 HT 0-0 Vipers Vipers UGA
02.02.2022 Vipers Vipers 3-0 HT 1-0 SC Villa SC Villa UGA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vipers
2-1
AWAY SC Villa
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Vipers vs SC Villa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vipers edged past SC Villa 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Vipers as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Vipers had 49% of the ball to SC Villa's 51%, shots finished 10-10.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Vipers had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Vipers and 0.00 for SC Villa.

What was the final score of Vipers vs SC Villa?

Vipers 2-1 SC Villa in the Uganda - Premier League on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vipers vs SC Villa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vipers win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Vipers 45%, draw 29%, SC Villa 26%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vipers) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Vipers) ✗ Under 2.5
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