Oleksandria 1-1 Rukh Vynnyky — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ukraine - Premier League, 5 Oct 2024

📅05/10/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.12
Draw
26%
3.11
Away
32%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.56
Over 2.5
36%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.03
No
59%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
11%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
16%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
44%
-1.8pp
26%
Draw
29%
-3.2pp
33%
Away Win
28%
+5.0pp
64%
Under 2.5
60%
+4.0pp
36%
Over 2.5
40%
-4.0pp
41%
BTTS Yes
45%
-4.7pp
59%
BTTS No
55%
+4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Oleksandria EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Rukh Vynnyky EU Bookmakers 31%
+4% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +8%
1.42/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/1.23
+10% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +29% / -2%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
331 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Oleksandria
1W-5D-0L
AWAY Rukh Vynnyky
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 7
4 Yellow Cards 4
04.05.2024 Oleksandria Oleksandria 2-2 HT 1-1 Rukh Vynnyky Rukh Vynnyky UKR
28.10.2023 Rukh Vynnyky Rukh Vynnyky 0-0 HT 0-0 Oleksandria Oleksandria UKR
26.09.2023 Rukh Vynnyky Rukh Vynnyky 0-1 HT 0-0 Oleksandria Oleksandria UKRK
04.06.2023 Rukh Vynnyky Rukh Vynnyky 0-0 HT 0-0 Oleksandria Oleksandria UKR
28.11.2022 Oleksandria Oleksandria 1-1 HT 0-0 Rukh Vynnyky Rukh Vynnyky UKR
31.10.2021 Rukh Vynnyky Rukh Vynnyky 0-0 HT 0-0 Oleksandria Oleksandria UKR
POST-MATCH Oleksandria vs Rukh Vynnyky
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Oleksandria and Rukh Vynnyky couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Oleksandria at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (64%) landed while no to both teams scoring (59%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Oleksandria had the better of it with 1 wins, 5 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Oleksandria and 0.50 for Rukh Vynnyky.

What was the final score of Oleksandria vs Rukh Vynnyky?

Oleksandria 1-1 Rukh Vynnyky in the Ukraine - Premier League on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Oleksandria vs Rukh Vynnyky?

Before kick-off our model rated a Oleksandria win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Oleksandria 42%, draw 26%, Rukh Vynnyky 33%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Oleksandria), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Oleksandria) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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