Phoenix Rising vs Monterey Bay Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Phoenix Rising v Monterey Bay — Team-Based Signals
Phoenix Rising vs Monterey Bay Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
0-2
HT 0-2
Phoenix Rising
USLP
1-1
HT 0-0
Monterey Bay
USLP
3-3
HT 3-2
Phoenix Rising
USLP
4-2
HT 4-0
Monterey Bay
USLP
Phoenix Rising 1-2 Monterey Bay — Actual Match Statistics
Monterey Bay edged past Phoenix Rising 2-1 away from home in the USL Championship on 5 Oct 2024. Half-time: 0-2.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 43% and both teams to score was close to even at 43%.
On the day, Phoenix Rising had 63% of the ball to Monterey Bay's 37%, shots finished 23-9, expected goals 2.00 to 0.57.
Across their last 5 meetings in our records, Phoenix Rising have the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Phoenix Rising and 1.40 for Monterey Bay.
What was the final score of Phoenix Rising vs Monterey Bay?
Phoenix Rising 1-2 Monterey Bay in the USL Championship on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Phoenix Rising vs Monterey Bay?
Before kick-off our model rated a Phoenix Rising win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Phoenix Rising 50%, draw 25%, Monterey Bay 25%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.