Monterey Bay vs Phoenix Rising Prediction — Model Probabilities
Monterey Bay v Phoenix Rising — Team-Based Signals
Monterey Bay vs Phoenix Rising Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
Monterey Bay 1-0 Phoenix Rising — Actual Match Statistics
Monterey Bay edged past Phoenix Rising 1-0.
A gentle 43% lean on Phoenix Rising didn't survive contact with the match; margins like that flip all the time. The one blemish: over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (58%) never looked like landing.
Under the surface, Monterey Bay had 52% of the ball to Phoenix Rising's 48%, shots finished 11-9, expected goals 0.72 to 0.25.
Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Phoenix Rising led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Monterey Bay and 2.50 for Phoenix Rising.
Monterey Bay vs Phoenix Rising Result & Final Score
Monterey Bay 1 - 0 Phoenix Rising in the USL Championship on 17/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Monterey Bay vs Phoenix Rising Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated an Phoenix Rising win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Monterey Bay 31%, draw 26%, Phoenix Rising 43%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.