Monterey Bay vs Phoenix Rising Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Monterey Bay v Phoenix Rising — Team-Based Signals
Monterey Bay vs Phoenix Rising Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
0-2
HT 0-2
Phoenix Rising
USLP
1-1
HT 0-0
Monterey Bay
USLP
3-3
HT 3-2
Phoenix Rising
USLP
4-2
HT 4-0
Monterey Bay
USLP
Monterey Bay 1-0 Phoenix Rising — Actual Match Statistics
Monterey Bay edged past Phoenix Rising 1-0 in the USL Championship on 17 Mar 2024.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
On the day, Monterey Bay had 52% of the ball to Phoenix Rising's 48%, shots finished 11-9, expected goals 0.72 to 0.25.
Across their last 4 meetings in our records, Phoenix Rising lead the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Monterey Bay and 2.50 for Phoenix Rising.
What was the final score of Monterey Bay vs Phoenix Rising?
Monterey Bay 1-0 Phoenix Rising in the USL Championship on 17/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Monterey Bay vs Phoenix Rising?
Before kick-off our model rated an Phoenix Rising win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Monterey Bay 35%, draw 27%, Phoenix Rising 38%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.