Colorado Springs 1-2 Detroit City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 17 Mar 2024

📅17/03/2024 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.53
Draw
25%
3.94
Away
19%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.91
Over 2.5
45%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.9
No
56%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.46
2-3 Goals
39%
1.79
4-5 Goals
21%
3.45
6+ Goals
10%
13.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.46 — our 30% vs market 23.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
24%
X/2
10%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
6%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
61%
-4.9pp
25%
Draw
22%
+2.4pp
19%
Away Win
17%
+2.6pp
55%
Under 2.5
48%
+6.3pp
45%
Over 2.5
52%
-6.3pp
44%
BTTS Yes
49%
-4.4pp
56%
BTTS No
51%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Colorado Springs EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Detroit City EU Bookmakers 20%
+4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -7%
1.67/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.84/1.67
+22% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -33% / +0%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
356 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 273 · 74%
26.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.3
15.6 Crosses 14.3
2.6 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Colorado Springs
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Detroit City
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.85 xG 0.98
58% Ball Possession 42%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
391 Passes 220
78% Pass Accuracy 62%
19 Box Touches 16
16 Crosses 15
4 Yellow Cards 2
28.09.2023 Detroit City Detroit City 0-3 HT 0-2 Colorado Springs Colorado Springs USLP
11.09.2022 Colorado Springs Colorado Springs 1-2 HT 0-1 Detroit City Detroit City USLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Colorado Springs
1-2
AWAY Detroit City
1.81 xG 2.25
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
301 Passes 399
82% Pass Accuracy 83%
22 Box Touches 16
17 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Colorado Springs vs Detroit City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Detroit City edged past Colorado Springs 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

This one beat our numbers. Colorado Springs carried 56% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Colorado Springs had 44% of the ball to Detroit City's 56%, shots finished 11-14, expected goals 1.81 to 2.25.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Colorado Springs and 1.00 for Detroit City.

What was the final score of Colorado Springs vs Detroit City?

Colorado Springs 1-2 Detroit City in the USL Championship on 17/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Colorado Springs vs Detroit City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Colorado Springs win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Colorado Springs 56%, draw 25%, Detroit City 19%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Colorado Springs) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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