Miami FC 0-1 Sacramento Republic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 17 Mar 2024

Miami FC
0-1 HT 0-0
Sacramento Republic
📅17/03/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✓
USL Championship – 2024

Miami FC vs Sacramento Republic Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
3.69
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
48%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.82
Over 2.5
46%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.82
No
48%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.17
2-3 Goals
42%
1.78
4-5 Goals
23%
3.7
6+ Goals
8%
15.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
8%
X/2
24%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
20%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
24%
+1.1pp
27%
Draw
25%
+2.3pp
48%
Away Win
52%
-3.3pp
54%
Under 2.5
51%
+3.1pp
46%
Over 2.5
49%
-3.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
51%
+0.7pp
48%
BTTS No
49%
-0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Miami FC v Sacramento Republic — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Miami FC EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Sacramento Republic EU Bookmakers 56%
+17% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
1.40/1.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.74/1.23
+41% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +38%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
288 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 364 · 79%
16.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.7
14.2 Crosses 17.8
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.6

Miami FC vs Sacramento Republic Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Miami FC
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Sacramento Republic
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.40 xG 1.25
51% Ball Possession 49%
5 Total Shots 17
1 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 7
435 Passes 410
80% Pass Accuracy 82%
6 Box Touches 22
6 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
15.10.2023 Sacramento Republic Sacramento Republic 1-0 HT 0-0 Miami FC Miami FC USLP

Miami FC 0-1 Sacramento Republic — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Miami FC
0-1
AWAY Sacramento Republic
0.83 xG 1.16
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 8
319 Passes 419
81% Pass Accuracy 86%
9 Box Touches 22
6 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Miami FC vs Sacramento Republic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sacramento Republic edged past Miami FC 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Sacramento Republic as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Miami FC had 44% of the ball to Sacramento Republic's 56%, shots finished 10-15, expected goals 0.83 to 1.16.

What was the final score of Miami FC vs Sacramento Republic?

Miami FC 0-1 Sacramento Republic in the USL Championship on 17/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Miami FC vs Sacramento Republic?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sacramento Republic win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Miami FC 25%, draw 27%, Sacramento Republic 48%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sacramento Republic), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sacramento Republic) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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