Las Vegas Lights vs FC Tulsa Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Las Vegas Lights v FC Tulsa — Team-Based Signals
Las Vegas Lights vs FC Tulsa Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-0
FC Tulsa
USLP
1-1
HT 0-0
Las Vegas Lights
USLP
0-0
HT 0-0
FC Tulsa
USLP
2-2
HT 1-1
Las Vegas Lights
USLP
1-1
HT 1-1
FC Tulsa
USLP
Las Vegas Lights 1-3 FC Tulsa — Actual Match Statistics
FC Tulsa beat Las Vegas Lights 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.
As we said in the preview, our model had FC Tulsa as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.
On the day, Las Vegas Lights had 71% of the ball to FC Tulsa's 29%, shots finished 21-12, expected goals 1.93 to 0.82 — on chances, Las Vegas Lights could feel hard done by.
For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 5 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Las Vegas Lights and 1.00 for FC Tulsa.
What was the final score of Las Vegas Lights vs FC Tulsa?
Las Vegas Lights 1-3 FC Tulsa in the USL Championship on 17/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Las Vegas Lights vs FC Tulsa?
Before kick-off our model rated an FC Tulsa win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Las Vegas Lights 34%, draw 24%, FC Tulsa 42%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Tulsa) — while BTTS No went the other way.