Tampa Bay Rowdies 2-2 San Antonio — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 17 Mar 2024

📅17/03/2024 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.25
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
35%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.03
Over 2.5
49%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.61
No
51%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.86
2-3 Goals
43%
1.83
4-5 Goals
21%
3.18
6+ Goals
8%
10.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.86 — our 28% vs market 20.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
24%
X/2
13%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
41%
-1.6pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.4pp
35%
Away Win
34%
+0.2pp
51%
Under 2.5
45%
+5.9pp
49%
Over 2.5
55%
-5.9pp
49%
BTTS Yes
58%
-8.6pp
51%
BTTS No
42%
+8.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tampa Bay Rowdies EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY San Antonio EU Bookmakers 38%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +29%
1.46/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.52/1.29
-11% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +46% / +23%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
305 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 73%
16.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.5
13.1 Crosses 17.8
2.3 Yellow Cards 3.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tampa Bay Rowdies
0W-2D-0L
AWAY San Antonio
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.53 xG 1.42
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 6
249 Passes 262
76% Pass Accuracy 78%
24 Box Touches 25
25 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 3
17.09.2023 San Antonio San Antonio 3-3 HT 1-0 Tampa Bay Rowdies Tampa Bay Rowdies USLP
08.10.2017 San Antonio San Antonio 1-1 HT 0-0 Tampa Bay Rowdies Tampa Bay Rowdies USLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tampa Bay Rowdies
2-2
AWAY San Antonio
1.22 xG 0.45
40% Ball Possession 60%
14 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 4
11 Corners 3
160 Passes 292
63% Pass Accuracy 72%
21 Box Touches 13
21 Crosses 17
4 Yellow Cards 4
FAQ Tampa Bay Rowdies vs San Antonio
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Tampa Bay Rowdies and San Antonio shared the points in a 2-2 draw in the USL Championship on 17 Mar 2024. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Tampa Bay Rowdies had 40% of the ball to San Antonio's 60%, shots finished 14-7, expected goals 1.22 to 0.45.

Across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours are even at 0 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Tampa Bay Rowdies and 2.00 for San Antonio.

What was the final score of Tampa Bay Rowdies vs San Antonio?

Tampa Bay Rowdies 2-2 San Antonio in the USL Championship on 17/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tampa Bay Rowdies vs San Antonio?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tampa Bay Rowdies win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Tampa Bay Rowdies 39%, draw 26%, San Antonio 35%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Tampa Bay Rowdies) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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