Birkenhead United 3-3 Western Suburbs — Result, Statistics & Match Review — New Zealand - Bölgesel, 5 Oct 2024

📅05/10/2024 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.92
Draw
23%
3.94
Away
29%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under
39%
3.17
Over
61%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
62%
1.32
No
38%
3.08
Total Goals
0-1
20%
2-3
38%
4-5
30%
6+
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
28%
X/2
8%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
17%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 62%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
48%
+0.0pp
23%
Draw
22%
+0.8pp
29%
Away Win
30%
-0.9pp
39%
Under 2.5
28%
+11.0pp
61%
Over 2.5
72%
-11.0pp
62%
BTTS Yes
72%
-9.8pp
38%
BTTS No
28%
+9.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Birkenhead United EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Western Suburbs EU Bookmakers 33%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 4
404 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 350 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Birkenhead United
3-3
AWAY Western Suburbs
62% Ball Possession 38%
25 Total Shots 9
12 Shots on Target 4
11 Corners 1
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Birkenhead United vs Western Suburbs
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Birkenhead United and Western Suburbs couldn't be separated, finishing 3-3. Half-time: 0-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Birkenhead United at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (62%) came in.

On the day, Birkenhead United had 62% of the ball to Western Suburbs's 38%, shots finished 25-9.

What was the final score of Birkenhead United vs Western Suburbs?

Birkenhead United 3-3 Western Suburbs in the New Zealand - Bölgesel on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Birkenhead United vs Western Suburbs?

Before kick-off our model rated a Birkenhead United win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Birkenhead United 48%, draw 23%, Western Suburbs 29%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Birkenhead United) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Birkenhead United) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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