Wellington Olympic 0-1 Auckland City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — New Zealand - Bölgesel, 5 Oct 2024

📅05/10/2024 · 🕒05:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.25
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
43%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under
35%
2.63
Over Pick
65%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.39
No
43%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1
20%
2-3
35%
4-5
32%
6+
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
8%
X/X
15%
2/1
9%
2/2
28%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 65%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
40%
-7.6pp
24%
Draw
24%
-0.3pp
43%
Away Win
36%
+7.8pp
35%
Under 2.5
34%
+1.1pp
65%
Over 2.5
66%
-1.1pp
57%
BTTS Yes
68%
-10.9pp
43%
BTTS No
32%
+10.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wellington Olympic EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Auckland City EU Bookmakers 39%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -55% / -55%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / -41%
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 7
330 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 351 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wellington Olympic
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Auckland City
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
12.11.2023 Auckland City Auckland City 1-3 HT 0-0 Wellington Olympic Wellington Olympic YZLBÖL
04.12.2022 Auckland City Auckland City 3-2 HT 2-0 Wellington Olympic Wellington Olympic YZLBÖL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Wellington Olympic
0-1
AWAY Auckland City
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Wellington Olympic vs Auckland City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Auckland City nicked a narrow win over Wellington Olympic 1-0 away from home.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Auckland City as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (65%), both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Wellington Olympic had 50% of the ball to Auckland City's 50%, shots finished 15-5.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Wellington Olympic and 2.00 for Auckland City.

What was the final score of Wellington Olympic vs Auckland City?

Wellington Olympic 0-1 Auckland City in the New Zealand - Bölgesel on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wellington Olympic vs Auckland City?

Before kick-off our model rated an Auckland City win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Wellington Olympic 33%, draw 24%, Auckland City 43%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Auckland City) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Auckland City) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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