Sparta Prag II 2-3 Chrudim — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - FNL, 5 Oct 2025

📅05/10/2025 · 🕒11:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.05
Draw
21%
3.54
Away
35%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.1
Over 2.5
51%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.61
No
48%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
14%
X/X
8%
2/1
12%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
45%
-1.2pp
22%
Draw
25%
-3.3pp
35%
Away Win
30%
+4.5pp
49%
Under 2.5
44%
+5.6pp
51%
Over 2.5
56%
-5.6pp
52%
BTTS Yes
58%
-5.8pp
48%
BTTS No
42%
+5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sparta Prag II EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Chrudim EU Bookmakers 34%
-9% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +13%
1.41/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/1.26
+0% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +13%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
391 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 323 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sparta Prag II
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Chrudim
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
06.04.2025 Sparta Prag II Sparta Prag II 2-2 HT 2-1 Chrudim Chrudim ÇEK2
24.08.2024 Chrudim Chrudim 4-1 HT 2-1 Sparta Prag II Sparta Prag II ÇEK2
09.03.2024 Chrudim Chrudim 0-2 HT 0-1 Sparta Prag II Sparta Prag II ÇEK2
06.08.2023 Sparta Prag II Sparta Prag II 2-0 HT 1-0 Chrudim Chrudim ÇEK2
19.03.2023 Sparta Prag II Sparta Prag II 0-0 HT 0-0 Chrudim Chrudim ÇEK2
27.08.2022 Chrudim Chrudim 1-2 HT 0-1 Sparta Prag II Sparta Prag II ÇEK2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sparta Prag II
2-3
AWAY Chrudim
45% Ball Possession 55%
14 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Sparta Prag II vs Chrudim
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chrudim nicked a narrow win over Sparta Prag II 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Sparta Prag II at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Sparta Prag II had 45% of the ball to Chrudim's 55%, shots finished 14-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sparta Prag II had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Sparta Prag II and 1.17 for Chrudim.

What was the final score of Sparta Prag II vs Chrudim?

Sparta Prag II 2-3 Chrudim in the Czech Republic - FNL on 05/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sparta Prag II vs Chrudim?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sparta Prag II win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Sparta Prag II 44%, draw 22%, Chrudim 35%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Sparta Prag II) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sparta Prag II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ÇEK2 More Czech Republic - FNL
5 Oct 2025
14:45 Banik Ostrava II vs Slavia Prag II Analysis →
18:30 Graffin Vlasim vs Jihlava Analysis →