Chrudim 4-1 Sparta Prag II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - FNL, 24 Aug 2024

📅24/08/2024 · 🕒11:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.09
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
32%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.18
Over 2.5
51%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.53
No
53%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
6%
X/2
13%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
44%
-1.6pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.8pp
32%
Away Win
30%
+2.3pp
49%
Under 2.5
42%
+7.2pp
51%
Over 2.5
58%
-7.2pp
47%
BTTS Yes
61%
-14.6pp
53%
BTTS No
39%
+14.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chrudim EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Sparta Prag II EU Bookmakers 33%
-8% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +1%
1.83/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.50/1.72
+18% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / -10%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
335 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 367 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chrudim
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Sparta Prag II
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
45% Ball Possession 55%
7 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
09.03.2024 Chrudim Chrudim 0-2 HT 0-1 Sparta Prag II Sparta Prag II ÇEK2
06.08.2023 Sparta Prag II Sparta Prag II 2-0 HT 1-0 Chrudim Chrudim ÇEK2
19.03.2023 Sparta Prag II Sparta Prag II 0-0 HT 0-0 Chrudim Chrudim ÇEK2
27.08.2022 Chrudim Chrudim 1-2 HT 0-1 Sparta Prag II Sparta Prag II ÇEK2
14.05.2022 Sparta Prag II Sparta Prag II 2-2 HT 0-1 Chrudim Chrudim ÇEK2
24.07.2021 Chrudim Chrudim 0-1 HT 0-0 Sparta Prag II Sparta Prag II ÇEK2
POST-MATCH Chrudim vs Sparta Prag II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chrudim ran out comfortable winners over Sparta Prag II 4-1. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Chrudim as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sparta Prag II led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Chrudim and 1.50 for Sparta Prag II.

What was the final score of Chrudim vs Sparta Prag II?

Chrudim 4-1 Sparta Prag II in the Czech Republic - FNL on 24/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chrudim vs Sparta Prag II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chrudim win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Chrudim 43%, draw 25%, Sparta Prag II 32%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chrudim), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Chrudim) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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