Lisen 1-0 Varnsdorf — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - FNL, 24 Aug 2024

📅24/08/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.09
Draw
32%
3.35
Away
34%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.91
Over 2.5
43%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.68
No
48%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
11%
X/X
17%
2/1
7%
2/2
17%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
44%
-10.1pp
32%
Draw
26%
+6.0pp
34%
Away Win
30%
+4.1pp
57%
Under 2.5
48%
+8.6pp
43%
Over 2.5
52%
-8.6pp
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
-3.9pp
48%
BTTS No
44%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lisen EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Varnsdorf EU Bookmakers 33%
-7% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -11%
1.23/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/1.19
-23% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / +33%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
358 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 350 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lisen
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Varnsdorf
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
27.03.2024 Varnsdorf Varnsdorf 1-1 HT 0-1 Lisen Lisen ÇEK2
19.08.2023 Lisen Lisen 2-1 HT 0-1 Varnsdorf Varnsdorf ÇEK2
13.11.2022 Varnsdorf Varnsdorf 2-0 HT 1-0 Lisen Lisen ÇEK2
06.08.2022 Lisen Lisen 3-0 HT 3-0 Varnsdorf Varnsdorf ÇEK2
26.04.2022 Varnsdorf Varnsdorf 0-1 HT 0-0 Lisen Lisen ÇEK2
14.11.2021 Lisen Lisen 1-0 HT 1-0 Varnsdorf Varnsdorf ÇEK2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lisen
1-0
AWAY Varnsdorf
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Lisen vs Varnsdorf
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lisen edged past Varnsdorf 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 32% / 34% — and on the day Lisen made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Lisen had 51% of the ball to Varnsdorf's 49%, shots finished 11-8.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lisen had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Lisen and 0.67 for Varnsdorf.

What was the final score of Lisen vs Varnsdorf?

Lisen 1-0 Varnsdorf in the Czech Republic - FNL on 24/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lisen vs Varnsdorf?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lisen win the most likely single outcome at about 34%, with the full match-result split Lisen 34%, draw 32%, Varnsdorf 34%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (34/32/34) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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