Ipswich Town 3-1 Norwich City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 5 Oct 2025

Ipswich Town
3-1 HT 2-1
Norwich City
📅05/10/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✓
England - Championship – 2025/2026

Ipswich Town vs Norwich City Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.61
Draw
23%
3.8
Away
18%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.0
Over 2.5
60%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.76
No
40%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
3.66
2-3 Goals
40%
1.81
4-5 Goals EV+ ✓
27%
3.15
6+ Goals
13%
10.7
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.15 — our 27% vs market 25.6%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
2.06
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
7%
14.9
X/1
17%
4.15
X/2
6%
10.3
X/X
11%
5.64
2/1 EV+ ✗
12%
21.8
2/2
7%
8.18
2/X
6%
16.6
Value flag · 2/1 at 21.8 — our 12% vs market 2.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
58%
+0.6pp
23%
Draw
23%
+0.1pp
18%
Away Win
19%
-0.9pp
40%
Under 2.5
46%
-5.9pp
60%
Over 2.5
54%
+5.9pp
60%
BTTS Yes
53%
+7.5pp
40%
BTTS No
47%
-7.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Ipswich Town v Norwich City — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ipswich Town EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Norwich City EU Bookmakers 22%
+6% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +1%
2.20/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.89
+54% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / -14%
57% Ball Possession 43%
17 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
389 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 261 · 71%
30.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.6
19.9 Crosses 12.2
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.7

Ipswich Town vs Norwich City Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ipswich Town
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Norwich City
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.27 xG 1.08
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
282 Passes 252
69% Pass Accuracy 72%
27 Box Touches 21
21 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
06.04.2024 Norwich City Norwich City 1-0 HT 1-0 Ipswich Town Ipswich Town İNCL
16.12.2023 Ipswich Town Ipswich Town 2-2 HT 1-1 Norwich City Norwich City İNCL
10.02.2019 Norwich City Norwich City 3-0 HT 1-0 Ipswich Town Ipswich Town İNCL
02.09.2018 Ipswich Town Ipswich Town 1-1 HT 0-0 Norwich City Norwich City İNCL
18.02.2018 Norwich City Norwich City 1-1 HT 0-0 Ipswich Town Ipswich Town İNCL
22.10.2017 Ipswich Town Ipswich Town 0-1 HT 0-0 Norwich City Norwich City İNCL

Ipswich Town 3-1 Norwich City — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ipswich Town
3-1
AWAY Norwich City
1.80 xG 0.48
53% Ball Possession 47%
19 Total Shots 12
9 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 8
287 Passes 245
78% Pass Accuracy 75%
23 Box Touches 16
18 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Ipswich Town vs Norwich City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ipswich Town saw off Norwich City 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Ipswich Town as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (60%) came in.

On the day, Ipswich Town had 53% of the ball to Norwich City's 47%, shots finished 19-12, expected goals 1.80 to 0.48.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Norwich City led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Ipswich Town and 1.50 for Norwich City.

What was the final score of Ipswich Town vs Norwich City?

Ipswich Town 3-1 Norwich City in the England - Championship on 05/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ipswich Town vs Norwich City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ipswich Town win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Ipswich Town 59%, draw 23%, Norwich City 18%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ipswich Town), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Ipswich Town) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →