Tottenham Hotspur (K) 1-0 Brighton & Hove Albion (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Women's Premier League, 5 Oct 2025

📅05/10/2025 · 🕒13:55 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.67
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
46%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.15
Over 2.5
55%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.56
No
39%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
9%
X/2
14%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
29%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
33%
-3.7pp
24%
Draw
24%
-0.6pp
46%
Away Win
42%
+4.4pp
45%
Under 2.5
43%
+2.4pp
55%
Over 2.5
57%
-2.4pp
61%
BTTS Yes
60%
+0.9pp
39%
BTTS No
40%
-0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tottenham Hotspur (K) EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Brighton & Hove Albion (K) EU Bookmakers 46%
-20% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
1.04/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.15/1.84
-33% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +50% / -64%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
303 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 345 · 79%
16.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 33.9
17.5 Crosses 19.5
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tottenham Hotspur (K)
1W-2D-1L
AWAY Brighton & Hove Albion (K)
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
1.21 xG 1.12
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
315 Passes 345
74% Pass Accuracy 75%
16 Box Touches 35
14 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
16.03.2025 Tottenham Hotspur (K) Tottenham Hotspur (K) 0-1 HT 0-1 Brighton & Hove Albion (K) Brighton & Hove Albion (K) İNKPL
14.12.2024 Brighton & Hove Albion (K) Brighton & Hove Albion (K) 1-1 HT 0-0 Tottenham Hotspur (K) Tottenham Hotspur (K) İNKPL
28.04.2024 Tottenham Hotspur (K) Tottenham Hotspur (K) 1-1 HT 0-1 Brighton & Hove Albion (K) Brighton & Hove Albion (K) İNKPL
08.12.2019 Tottenham Hotspur (K) Tottenham Hotspur (K) 1-0 HT 0-0 Brighton & Hove Albion (K) Brighton & Hove Albion (K) İNKPL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tottenham Hotspur (K)
1-0
AWAY Brighton & Hove Albion (K)
1.08 xG 0.73
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 4
311 Passes 349
80% Pass Accuracy 80%
19 Box Touches 31
12 Crosses 9
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Tottenham Hotspur (K) vs Brighton & Hove Albion (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tottenham Hotspur (K) squeezed past Brighton & Hove Albion (K) 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Brighton & Hove Albion (K) at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Tottenham Hotspur (K) had 47% of the ball to Brighton & Hove Albion (K)'s 53%, shots finished 11-8, expected goals 1.08 to 0.73.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Tottenham Hotspur (K) and 0.75 for Brighton & Hove Albion (K).

What was the final score of Tottenham Hotspur (K) vs Brighton & Hove Albion (K)?

Tottenham Hotspur (K) 1-0 Brighton & Hove Albion (K) in the England - Women's Premier League on 05/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tottenham Hotspur (K) vs Brighton & Hove Albion (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Brighton & Hove Albion (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Tottenham Hotspur (K) 30%, draw 24%, Brighton & Hove Albion (K) 46%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Brighton & Hove Albion (K)) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İNKPL More England - Women's Premier League
5 Oct 2025
13:55 West Ham United (K) vs Aston Villa (K) Analysis →
13:55 Leicester City WFC (K) vs Everton (K) Analysis →
13:55 London City (K) vs Liverpool (K) Analysis →