Kortrijk 1-3 Waasland-Beveren — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - 1st Division, 5 Oct 2025

Kortrijk
1-3 HT 0-2
Waasland-Beveren
📅05/10/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Belgium - 1st Division – 2025/2026

Kortrijk vs Waasland-Beveren Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.33
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
40%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.75
Over 2.5
46%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.76
No
53%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
2.85
2-3 Goals
35%
1.73
4-5 Goals
23%
3.7
6+ Goals
9%
16.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.85 — our 33% vs market 27.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
13%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
12%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
39%
-5.0pp
25%
Draw
27%
-1.7pp
40%
Away Win
34%
+6.7pp
54%
Under 2.5
53%
+0.9pp
46%
Over 2.5
47%
-0.9pp
47%
BTTS Yes
53%
-5.8pp
53%
BTTS No
47%
+5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Kortrijk v Waasland-Beveren — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kortrijk EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Waasland-Beveren EU Bookmakers 37%
-51% / -51% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +2%
0.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/1.07
-100% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / +32%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
321 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 74%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.2
– Crosses 17.7
– Yellow Cards 2.7

Kortrijk vs Waasland-Beveren Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kortrijk
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Waasland-Beveren
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
2.74 xG 1.39
52% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
344 Passes 356
78% Pass Accuracy 78%
26 Box Touches 20
26 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
11.04.2021 Waasland-Beveren Waasland-Beveren 3-4 HT 2-1 Kortrijk Kortrijk BEL
09.08.2020 Kortrijk Kortrijk 1-3 HT 0-1 Waasland-Beveren Waasland-Beveren BEL
12.02.2020 Waasland-Beveren Waasland-Beveren 1-2 HT 1-1 Kortrijk Kortrijk BEL
09.11.2019 Kortrijk Kortrijk 1-3 HT 0-2 Waasland-Beveren Waasland-Beveren BEL
04.05.2019 Kortrijk Kortrijk 2-1 HT 2-1 Waasland-Beveren Waasland-Beveren BEL
02.04.2019 Waasland-Beveren Waasland-Beveren 2-3 HT 0-0 Kortrijk Kortrijk BEL

Kortrijk 1-3 Waasland-Beveren — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kortrijk
1-3
AWAY Waasland-Beveren
0.77 xG 0.32
62% Ball Possession 38%
16 Total Shots 5
3 Shots on Target 3
11 Corners 5
423 Passes 233
82% Pass Accuracy 71%
28 Box Touches 15
33 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Kortrijk vs Waasland-Beveren
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Waasland-Beveren saw off Kortrijk 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match split (34% / 25% / 40%) promised a tight game; Waasland-Beveren found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Kortrijk had 62% of the ball to Waasland-Beveren's 38%, shots finished 16-5, expected goals 0.77 to 0.32 — on chances, Kortrijk could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kortrijk had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Kortrijk and 2.17 for Waasland-Beveren.

What was the final score of Kortrijk vs Waasland-Beveren?

Kortrijk 1-3 Waasland-Beveren in the Belgium - 1st Division on 05/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kortrijk vs Waasland-Beveren?

Before kick-off our model rated an Waasland-Beveren win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Kortrijk 34%, draw 25%, Waasland-Beveren 40%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Waasland-Beveren) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Waasland-Beveren) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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