RFC Liege 5-0 KRC Genk II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - 1st Division, 5 Oct 2025

📅05/10/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.57
Draw
26%
4.08
Away
22%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.38
Over 2.5
52%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.61
No
42%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.67
2-3 Goals
42%
1.9
4-5 Goals
21%
2.67
6+ Goals
13%
6.91
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
6%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
59%
-7.7pp
26%
Draw
21%
+5.2pp
22%
Away Win
20%
+2.5pp
48%
Under 2.5
38%
+9.6pp
52%
Over 2.5
62%
-9.6pp
58%
BTTS Yes
58%
-0.0pp
42%
BTTS No
42%
+0.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME RFC Liege EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY KRC Genk II EU Bookmakers 23%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -4%
2.25/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.37/1.80
-6% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / -25%
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
351 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 76%
32.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.4
26.0 Crosses 14.8
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME RFC Liege
2W-0D-1L
AWAY KRC Genk II
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
2.42 xG 2.19
46% Ball Possession 54%
15 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 9
293 Passes 357
78% Pass Accuracy 82%
31 Box Touches 23
18 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 1
13.04.2025 RFC Liege RFC Liege 3-1 HT 2-0 KRC Genk II KRC Genk II BEL2
25.08.2024 KRC Genk II KRC Genk II 4-1 HT 0-1 RFC Liege RFC Liege BEL2
03.11.2023 KRC Genk II KRC Genk II 2-3 HT 0-2 RFC Liege RFC Liege BEL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME RFC Liege
5-0
AWAY KRC Genk II
2.51 xG 1.11
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 15
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 7
347 Passes 385
83% Pass Accuracy 86%
25 Box Touches 28
22 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH RFC Liege vs KRC Genk II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

RFC Liege ran out comfortable winners over KRC Genk II 5-0. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had RFC Liege as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, RFC Liege had 48% of the ball to KRC Genk II's 52%, shots finished 11-15, expected goals 2.51 to 1.11.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, RFC Liege had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for RFC Liege and 2.33 for KRC Genk II.

What was the final score of RFC Liege vs KRC Genk II?

RFC Liege 5-0 KRC Genk II in the Belgium - 1st Division on 05/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for RFC Liege vs KRC Genk II?

Before kick-off our model rated a RFC Liege win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split RFC Liege 52%, draw 26%, KRC Genk II 22%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (RFC Liege), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (RFC Liege) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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BEL2 More Belgium - 1st Division
5 Oct 2025
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