KRC Genk II 4-1 RFC Liege — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - 1st Division, 25 Aug 2024

KRC Genk II
4-1 HT 0-1
RFC Liege
📅25/08/2024 · 🕒20:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Belgium - 1st Division – 2024/2025

KRC Genk II vs RFC Liege Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.46
Draw
31%
3.54
Away
34%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.29
Over 2.5
54%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.49
No
41%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
4.72
2-3 Goals
43%
1.92
4-5 Goals
22%
2.84
6+ Goals
7%
7.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
4%
1/X
10%
X/1
13%
X/2
13%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
17%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
37%
-1.5pp
31%
Draw
25%
+5.8pp
34%
Away Win
38%
-4.3pp
46%
Under 2.5
40%
+6.4pp
54%
Over 2.5
60%
-6.4pp
59%
BTTS Yes
63%
-3.9pp
41%
BTTS No
37%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

KRC Genk II v RFC Liege — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME KRC Genk II EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY RFC Liege EU Bookmakers 42%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
1.61/1.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.03/1.35
+1% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +54% / -23%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
320 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 369 · 80%
29.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 31.7
13.6 Crosses 21.7
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.2

KRC Genk II vs RFC Liege Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME KRC Genk II
0W-0D-1L
AWAY RFC Liege
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
2.23 xG 1.59
53% Ball Possession 47%
19 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 3
349 Passes 277
79% Pass Accuracy 72%
31 Box Touches 32
18 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
03.11.2023 KRC Genk II KRC Genk II 2-3 HT 0-2 RFC Liege RFC Liege BEL2

KRC Genk II 4-1 RFC Liege — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME KRC Genk II
4-1
AWAY RFC Liege
2.01 xG 1.49
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 5
283 Passes 301
82% Pass Accuracy 80%
21 Box Touches 20
19 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH KRC Genk II vs RFC Liege
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

KRC Genk II swept aside RFC Liege 4-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (36% / 31% / 34%) promised a tight game; KRC Genk II found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged both teams to score (59%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, KRC Genk II had 53% of the ball to RFC Liege's 47%, shots finished 14-13, expected goals 2.01 to 1.49.

What was the final score of KRC Genk II vs RFC Liege?

KRC Genk II 4-1 RFC Liege in the Belgium - 1st Division on 25/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for KRC Genk II vs RFC Liege?

Before kick-off our model rated a KRC Genk II win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split KRC Genk II 36%, draw 31%, RFC Liege 34%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (KRC Genk II), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (KRC Genk II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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