Lommel United 0-2 RWDM 47 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - 1st Division, 25 Aug 2024

📅25/08/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.27
Draw
23%
3.35
Away
43%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.91
Over 2.5
54%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.68
No
47%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.45
2-3 Goals
38%
1.79
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
28%
3.45
6+ Goals
10%
13.1
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.45 — our 28% vs market 23.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
15%
1/X
9%
X/1
11%
X/2
13%
X/X
7%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
40%
-5.8pp
23%
Draw
26%
-3.6pp
43%
Away Win
34%
+9.3pp
46%
Under 2.5
48%
-2.2pp
54%
Over 2.5
52%
+2.2pp
53%
BTTS Yes
56%
-2.4pp
47%
BTTS No
44%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lommel United EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY RWDM 47 EU Bookmakers 37%
+7% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / +2%
1.35/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.38/1.02
+14% / +30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / -4%
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
313 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 392 · 81%
21.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.9
15.6 Crosses 20.4
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lommel United
2W-1D-3L
AWAY RWDM 47
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.87 xG 1.71
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
312 Passes 402
77% Pass Accuracy 83%
15 Box Touches 33
11 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 2
13.11.2022 RWDM 47 RWDM 47 5-0 HT 2-0 Lommel United Lommel United BEL2
01.10.2022 Lommel United Lommel United 2-1 HT 0-0 RWDM 47 RWDM 47 BEL2
12.03.2022 Lommel United Lommel United 0-0 HT 0-0 RWDM 47 RWDM 47 BEL2
21.01.2022 RWDM 47 RWDM 47 2-0 HT 1-0 Lommel United Lommel United BEL2
31.10.2021 Lommel United Lommel United 2-3 HT 1-0 RWDM 47 RWDM 47 BEL2
25.09.2021 RWDM 47 RWDM 47 1-2 HT 0-2 Lommel United Lommel United BEL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lommel United
0-2
AWAY RWDM 47
0.30 xG 1.90
52% Ball Possession 48%
5 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 2
378 Passes 320
80% Pass Accuracy 77%
7 Box Touches 18
6 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Lommel United vs RWDM 47
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

RWDM 47 saw off Lommel United 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had RWDM 47 as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Lommel United had 52% of the ball to RWDM 47's 48%, shots finished 5-9, expected goals 0.30 to 1.90.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, RWDM 47 led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Lommel United and 2.00 for RWDM 47.

What was the final score of Lommel United vs RWDM 47?

Lommel United 0-2 RWDM 47 in the Belgium - 1st Division on 25/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lommel United vs RWDM 47?

Before kick-off our model rated an RWDM 47 win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Lommel United 34%, draw 23%, RWDM 47 43%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (RWDM 47) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (RWDM 47) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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