RFC Liege 3-1 KRC Genk II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - 1st Division, 13 Apr 2025

📅13/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.57
Draw
22%
4.08
Away
28%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.51
Over 2.5
59%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.56
No
45%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
5.21
2-3 Goals
36%
1.97
4-5 Goals
26%
2.58
6+ Goals
16%
6.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
18%
X/2
10%
X/X
6%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
60%
-9.2pp
21%
Draw
21%
+0.2pp
28%
Away Win
19%
+9.0pp
41%
Under 2.5
36%
+5.4pp
59%
Over 2.5
64%
-5.4pp
55%
BTTS Yes
60%
-5.0pp
45%
BTTS No
40%
+5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME RFC Liege EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY KRC Genk II EU Bookmakers 22%
-24% / -24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -11%
2.06/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/1.90
-13% / -47% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / -29%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
368 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 75%
32.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.9
28.1 Crosses 15.0
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME RFC Liege
1W-0D-1L
AWAY KRC Genk II
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
1.54 xG 2.12
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 8
289 Passes 316
76% Pass Accuracy 80%
26 Box Touches 26
18 Crosses 18
4 Yellow Cards 2
25.08.2024 KRC Genk II KRC Genk II 4-1 HT 0-1 RFC Liege RFC Liege BEL2
03.11.2023 KRC Genk II KRC Genk II 2-3 HT 0-2 RFC Liege RFC Liege BEL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME RFC Liege
3-1
AWAY KRC Genk II
4.19 xG 2.33
43% Ball Possession 57%
21 Total Shots 13
10 Shots on Target 8
8 Corners 9
300 Passes 438
81% Pass Accuracy 85%
41 Box Touches 16
18 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH RFC Liege vs KRC Genk II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

RFC Liege saw off KRC Genk II 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had RFC Liege as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, RFC Liege had 43% of the ball to KRC Genk II's 57%, shots finished 21-13, expected goals 4.19 to 2.33.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for RFC Liege and 3.00 for KRC Genk II.

What was the final score of RFC Liege vs KRC Genk II?

RFC Liege 3-1 KRC Genk II in the Belgium - 1st Division on 13/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for RFC Liege vs KRC Genk II?

Before kick-off our model rated a RFC Liege win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split RFC Liege 50%, draw 21%, KRC Genk II 28%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (RFC Liege), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (RFC Liege) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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