Boussu Dour Borinage 3-2 RSC Anderlecht II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - 1st Division, 13 Apr 2025

📅13/04/2025 · 🕒20:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.89
Draw
21%
3.54
Away
26%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.1
Over 2.5
51%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.61
No
51%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
25%
3.91
2-3 Goals
41%
1.82
4-5 Goals
25%
2.97
6+ Goals
9%
9.24
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.91 — our 25% vs market 19.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
18%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
4%
2/2
10%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
49%
+3.7pp
21%
Draw
25%
-3.6pp
26%
Away Win
26%
-0.1pp
49%
Under 2.5
44%
+5.3pp
51%
Over 2.5
56%
-5.3pp
49%
BTTS Yes
58%
-9.2pp
51%
BTTS No
42%
+9.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Boussu Dour Borinage EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY RSC Anderlecht II EU Bookmakers 30%
-17% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +5%
1.41/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.33
-17% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / -11%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
325 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 79%
21.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.9
22.5 Crosses 12.5
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Boussu Dour Borinage
2W-1D-0L
AWAY RSC Anderlecht II
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.06 xG 1.23
38% Ball Possession 62%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 7
226 Passes 432
71% Pass Accuracy 82%
21 Box Touches 26
14 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 3
14.12.2024 RSC Anderlecht II RSC Anderlecht II 0-1 HT 0-0 Boussu Dour Borinage Boussu Dour Borinage BEL2
30.03.2024 RSC Anderlecht II RSC Anderlecht II 3-3 HT 0-2 Boussu Dour Borinage Boussu Dour Borinage BEL2
27.08.2023 Boussu Dour Borinage Boussu Dour Borinage 1-0 HT 0-0 RSC Anderlecht II RSC Anderlecht II BEL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Boussu Dour Borinage
3-2
AWAY RSC Anderlecht II
1.38 xG 1.48
55% Ball Possession 45%
8 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 4
348 Passes 289
81% Pass Accuracy 83%
47 Box Touches 15
23 Crosses 16
6 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Boussu Dour Borinage vs RSC Anderlecht II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Boussu Dour Borinage squeezed past RSC Anderlecht II 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Boussu Dour Borinage as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Boussu Dour Borinage had 55% of the ball to RSC Anderlecht II's 45%, shots finished 8-11, expected goals 1.38 to 1.48.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Boussu Dour Borinage had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Boussu Dour Borinage and 1.00 for RSC Anderlecht II.

What was the final score of Boussu Dour Borinage vs RSC Anderlecht II?

Boussu Dour Borinage 3-2 RSC Anderlecht II in the Belgium - 1st Division on 13/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Boussu Dour Borinage vs RSC Anderlecht II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Boussu Dour Borinage win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Boussu Dour Borinage 52%, draw 21%, RSC Anderlecht II 26%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Boussu Dour Borinage), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Boussu Dour Borinage) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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