RSC Anderlecht II 3-3 Boussu Dour Borinage — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - 1st Division, 30 Mar 2024

📅30/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.19
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
31%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.1
Over 2.5
52%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.56
No
51%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
23%
4.07
2-3 Goals
45%
1.85
4-5 Goals
25%
3.08
6+ Goals
7%
9.86
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.07 — our 23% vs market 19.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
9%
X/2
8%
X/X
9%
2/1
9%
2/2
17%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
42%
+1.4pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.1pp
31%
Away Win
33%
-2.4pp
48%
Under 2.5
44%
+4.4pp
52%
Over 2.5
56%
-4.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
60%
-10.9pp
51%
BTTS No
40%
+10.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME RSC Anderlecht II EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Boussu Dour Borinage EU Bookmakers 37%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -53% / -53%
1.20/1.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.83/2.24
+3% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / -55%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
358 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 345 · 77%
28.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.0
21.6 Crosses 31.0
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME RSC Anderlecht II
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Boussu Dour Borinage
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.76 xG 0.60
56% Ball Possession 44%
10 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 4
14 Corners 4
333 Passes 252
78% Pass Accuracy 73%
26 Box Touches 33
31 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
27.08.2023 Boussu Dour Borinage Boussu Dour Borinage 1-0 HT 0-0 RSC Anderlecht II RSC Anderlecht II BEL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME RSC Anderlecht II
3-3
AWAY Boussu Dour Borinage
2.39 xG 0.99
67% Ball Possession 33%
22 Total Shots 11
9 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 2
521 Passes 210
87% Pass Accuracy 71%
33 Box Touches 15
25 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH RSC Anderlecht II vs Boussu Dour Borinage
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

RSC Anderlecht II and Boussu Dour Borinage shared the points in a 3-3 draw. Half-time: 0-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was RSC Anderlecht II at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, RSC Anderlecht II had 67% of the ball to Boussu Dour Borinage's 33%, shots finished 22-11, expected goals 2.39 to 0.99.

What was the final score of RSC Anderlecht II vs Boussu Dour Borinage?

RSC Anderlecht II 3-3 Boussu Dour Borinage in the Belgium - 1st Division on 30/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for RSC Anderlecht II vs Boussu Dour Borinage?

Before kick-off our model rated a RSC Anderlecht II win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split RSC Anderlecht II 43%, draw 26%, Boussu Dour Borinage 31%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (RSC Anderlecht II), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (RSC Anderlecht II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
BEL2 More Belgium - 1st Division
30 Mar 2024
22:00 Deinze vs SV Zulte Waregem Analysis →
22:00 Standard Liege II vs Lierse Kempenzonen Analysis →