Standard Liege II 0-1 Lierse Kempenzonen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - 1st Division, 30 Mar 2024

📅30/03/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
2.99
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
48%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.29
Over 2.5
49%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.5
No
53%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
27%
4.76
2-3 Goals
41%
1.92
4-5 Goals
21%
2.83
6+ Goals
11%
7.79
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.76 — our 27% vs market 16.3%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
8%
X/2
19%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
22%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
30%
-3.9pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.2pp
48%
Away Win
45%
+2.7pp
51%
Under 2.5
40%
+11.6pp
49%
Over 2.5
60%
-11.6pp
47%
BTTS Yes
62%
-15.3pp
53%
BTTS No
38%
+15.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Standard Liege II EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Lierse Kempenzonen EU Bookmakers 49%
-1% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -24% / -24%
0.92/1.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.52/1.80
-23% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / -43%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
315 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 335 · 78%
20.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.0
18.6 Crosses 21.4
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Standard Liege II
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Lierse Kempenzonen
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
1.14 xG 0.98
55% Ball Possession 45%
17 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 4
325 Passes 262
81% Pass Accuracy 76%
20 Box Touches 15
27 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 3
26.11.2023 Lierse Kempenzonen Lierse Kempenzonen 1-4 HT 1-1 Standard Liege II Standard Liege II BEL2
02.12.2022 Standard Liege II Standard Liege II 2-4 HT 1-3 Lierse Kempenzonen Lierse Kempenzonen BEL2
09.10.2022 Lierse Kempenzonen Lierse Kempenzonen 2-0 HT 2-0 Standard Liege II Standard Liege II BEL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Standard Liege II
0-1
AWAY Lierse Kempenzonen
0.66 xG 0.65
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 1
8 Corners 6
387 Passes 364
85% Pass Accuracy 84%
22 Box Touches 21
26 Crosses 19
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Standard Liege II vs Lierse Kempenzonen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lierse Kempenzonen squeezed past Standard Liege II 1-0 away from home.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Lierse Kempenzonen as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Standard Liege II had 51% of the ball to Lierse Kempenzonen's 49%, shots finished 12-11, expected goals 0.66 to 0.65.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Lierse Kempenzonen led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Standard Liege II and 2.33 for Lierse Kempenzonen.

What was the final score of Standard Liege II vs Lierse Kempenzonen?

Standard Liege II 0-1 Lierse Kempenzonen in the Belgium - 1st Division on 30/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Standard Liege II vs Lierse Kempenzonen?

Before kick-off our model rated an Lierse Kempenzonen win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Standard Liege II 26%, draw 26%, Lierse Kempenzonen 48%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lierse Kempenzonen), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Lierse Kempenzonen) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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