Hoi King 4-2 Kwun Tong — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hong Kong - HKFA 1st Division, 5 Oct 2025

📅05/10/2025 · 🕒10:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
71%
1.11
Draw
13%
8.11
Away
16%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
35%
Over 2.5
65%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
2.03
No
43%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
46%
1/2
2%
1/X
3%
X/1
15%
X/2
7%
X/X
4%
2/1
11%
2/2
6%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
71%
Home Win
85%
-13.3pp
13%
Draw
9%
+3.7pp
16%
Away Win
6%
+9.5pp
57%
BTTS Yes
45%
+11.8pp
43%
BTTS No
55%
-11.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hoi King EU Bookmakers 90%
Head to Head
AWAY Kwun Tong EU Bookmakers 9%
-17% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
2.90/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/1.00
-12% / +34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +150%
61% Ball Possession 39%
16 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
488 · 87% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 230 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 4.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hoi King
4-2
AWAY Kwun Tong
69% Ball Possession 31%
24 Total Shots 9
9 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 2
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Hoi King vs Kwun Tong
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hoi King got the better of Kwun Tong 4-2. Half-time: 1-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Hoi King as the likeliest winner at 71%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (65%), both teams to score (57%) came in.

On the day, Hoi King had 69% of the ball to Kwun Tong's 31%, shots finished 24-9.

What was the final score of Hoi King vs Kwun Tong?

Hoi King 4-2 Kwun Tong in the Hong Kong - HKFA 1st Division on 05/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hoi King vs Kwun Tong?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hoi King win the most likely single outcome at about 71%, with the full match-result split Hoi King 71%, draw 13%, Kwun Tong 16%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hoi King), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Hoi King) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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