WSE 4-0 Citizen AA — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hong Kong - HKFA 1st Division, 5 Oct 2025

📅05/10/2025 · 🕒08:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.12
Draw
24%
3.94
Away
30%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
34%
Over 2.5
66%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
65%
1.35
No
35%
2.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
17%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
10%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
43%
+3.7pp
24%
Draw
22%
+1.8pp
30%
Away Win
35%
-5.4pp
65%
BTTS Yes
70%
-5.0pp
35%
BTTS No
30%
+5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME WSE EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Citizen AA EU Bookmakers 39%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
1.79/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.98/1.42
+3% / +38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / +13%
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 4
344 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 319 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME WSE
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Citizen AA
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
39% Ball Possession 61%
9 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 2
11.05.2025 WSE 0-2 HT 0-2 Citizen AA Citizen AA HK2
24.11.2024 Citizen AA Citizen AA 3-1 WSE HK2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME WSE
4-0
AWAY Citizen AA
64% Ball Possession 36%
13 Total Shots 7
9 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH WSE vs Citizen AA
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

WSE swept aside Citizen AA 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had WSE as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (66%) landed while both teams to score (65%) missed.

On the day, WSE had 64% of the ball to Citizen AA's 36%, shots finished 13-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Citizen AA led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for WSE and 2.50 for Citizen AA.

What was the final score of WSE vs Citizen AA?

WSE 4-0 Citizen AA in the Hong Kong - HKFA 1st Division on 05/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for WSE vs Citizen AA?

Before kick-off our model rated a WSE win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split WSE 47%, draw 24%, Citizen AA 30%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (WSE), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (WSE) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
HK2 More Hong Kong - HKFA 1st Division
5 Oct 2025
10:30 3 Sing vs Central & Western Analysis →
10:30 Hoi King vs Kwun Tong Analysis →