Citizen AA 3-1 WSE — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hong Kong - HKFA 1st Division, 24 Nov 2024

📅24/11/2024 · 🕒12:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.57
Draw
24%
4.08
Away
24%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.51
Over 2.5
59%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.56
No
41%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
12%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
60%
-7.1pp
24%
Draw
21%
+2.5pp
24%
Away Win
19%
+4.5pp
41%
Under 2.5
36%
+5.2pp
59%
Over 2.5
64%
-5.2pp
59%
BTTS Yes
60%
-0.9pp
41%
BTTS No
40%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Citizen AA EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY WSE EU Bookmakers 22%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -28% / -28%
2.42/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/3.00
+8% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -34% / -36%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
392 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 359 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 0.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Citizen AA
3-1
AWAY WSE
62% Ball Possession 38%
17 Total Shots 13
10 Shots on Target 9
3 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Citizen AA vs WSE
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Citizen AA saw off WSE 3-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Citizen AA as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (59%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Citizen AA had 62% of the ball to WSE's 38%, shots finished 17-13.

What was the final score of Citizen AA vs WSE?

Citizen AA 3-1 WSE in the Hong Kong - HKFA 1st Division on 24/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Citizen AA vs WSE?

Before kick-off our model rated a Citizen AA win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Citizen AA 52%, draw 24%, WSE 24%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Citizen AA), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Citizen AA) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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