South China 3-0 Hoi King — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hong Kong - HKFA 1st Division, 24 Nov 2024

📅24/11/2024 · 🕒08:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.75
Draw
24%
3.8
Away
29%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.74
Over 2.5
57%
1.41
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.43
No
47%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
53%
-5.9pp
24%
Draw
23%
+0.7pp
29%
Away Win
24%
+5.3pp
43%
Under 2.5
33%
+10.1pp
57%
Over 2.5
67%
-10.1pp
53%
BTTS Yes
66%
-12.8pp
47%
BTTS No
34%
+12.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME South China EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Hoi King EU Bookmakers 28%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +25% / +25%
2.51/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.89/1.69
+39% / +91% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / -5%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 2
408 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 301 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME South China
1W-1D-2L
AWAY Hoi King
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
04.02.2024 South China South China 3-0 HT 0-0 Hoi King Hoi King HK2
03.12.2023 Hoi King Hoi King 1-1 HT 0-0 South China South China HK2
26.02.2023 South China South China 0-1 HT 0-1 Hoi King Hoi King HK2
24.10.2021 South China South China 0-1 HT 0-1 Hoi King Hoi King HK2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME South China
3-0
AWAY Hoi King
40% Ball Possession 60%
9 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH South China vs Hoi King
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

South China ran out comfortable winners over Hoi King 3-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had South China as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, South China had 40% of the ball to Hoi King's 60%, shots finished 9-5.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Hoi King led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for South China and 0.75 for Hoi King.

What was the final score of South China vs Hoi King?

South China 3-0 Hoi King in the Hong Kong - HKFA 1st Division on 24/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for South China vs Hoi King?

Before kick-off our model rated a South China win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split South China 47%, draw 24%, Hoi King 29%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (South China), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (South China) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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