Yuen Long 3-0 Wing Yee — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hong Kong - HKFA 1st Division, 24 Nov 2024

📅24/11/2024 · 🕒10:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.11
Draw
22%
8.11
Away
19%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
35%
2.96
Over 2.5
65%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
No
43%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
17%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
4%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
85%
-25.5pp
22%
Draw
9%
+13.3pp
18%
Away Win
6%
+12.2pp
35%
Under 2.5
30%
+4.7pp
65%
Over 2.5
70%
-4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Yuen Long EU Bookmakers 90%
Head to Head
AWAY Wing Yee EU Bookmakers 9%
-22% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
2.95/1.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.85/3.24
-8% / -31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / -7%
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
501 · 88% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Yuen Long
2W-2D-1L
AWAY Wing Yee
1.60 Avg Goals (FT) 1.60
58% Ball Possession 42%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 7
0 Yellow Cards 2
21.04.2024 Yuen Long Yuen Long 2-4 HT 1-1 Wing Yee Wing Yee HK2
26.11.2023 Wing Yee Wing Yee 2-2 HT 1-0 Yuen Long Yuen Long HK2
07.05.2023 Wing Yee Wing Yee 1-1 HT 0-0 Yuen Long Yuen Long HK2
16.10.2022 Yuen Long Yuen Long 2-1 HT 2-1 Wing Yee Wing Yee HK2
17.10.2021 Wing Yee Wing Yee 0-1 HT 0-0 Yuen Long Yuen Long HK2
POST-MATCH Yuen Long vs Wing Yee
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Yuen Long swept aside Wing Yee 3-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Yuen Long as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (65%) landed while both teams to score (57%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Yuen Long had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.60 goals for Yuen Long and 1.60 for Wing Yee.

What was the final score of Yuen Long vs Wing Yee?

Yuen Long 3-0 Wing Yee in the Hong Kong - HKFA 1st Division on 24/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Yuen Long vs Wing Yee?

Before kick-off our model rated a Yuen Long win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Yuen Long 59%, draw 22%, Wing Yee 18%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Yuen Long), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Yuen Long) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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