South China 3-0 Hoi King — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hong Kong - HKFA 1st Division, 4 Feb 2024

📅04/02/2024 · 🕒10:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.49
Draw
32%
4.34
Away
18%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.96
Over 2.5
56%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.49
No
45%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
7%
X/2
5%
X/X
17%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
63%
-13.2pp
32%
Draw
20%
+12.1pp
18%
Away Win
18%
+1.0pp
44%
Under 2.5
30%
+13.5pp
56%
Over 2.5
70%
-13.5pp
55%
BTTS Yes
63%
-7.7pp
45%
BTTS No
37%
+7.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME South China EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Hoi King EU Bookmakers 21%
-24% / -24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +10%
2.12/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.46/2.33
+1% / +49% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / -19%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
380 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME South China
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Hoi King
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
55% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 3
03.12.2023 Hoi King Hoi King 1-1 HT 0-0 South China South China HK2
26.02.2023 South China South China 0-1 HT 0-1 Hoi King Hoi King HK2
24.10.2021 South China South China 0-1 HT 0-1 Hoi King Hoi King HK2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME South China
3-0
AWAY Hoi King
47% Ball Possession 53%
15 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH South China vs Hoi King
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

South China ran out comfortable winners over Hoi King 3-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had South China as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (56%) landed while both teams to score (55%) missed.

On the day, South China had 47% of the ball to Hoi King's 53%, shots finished 15-7.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Hoi King led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for South China and 1.00 for Hoi King.

What was the final score of South China vs Hoi King?

South China 3-0 Hoi King in the Hong Kong - HKFA 1st Division on 04/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for South China vs Hoi King?

Before kick-off our model rated a South China win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split South China 50%, draw 32%, Hoi King 18%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (South China), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (South China) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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