Shatin SA 2-4 Kowloon City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hong Kong - HKFA 1st Division, 4 Feb 2024

📅04/02/2024 · 🕒08:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
4.65
Draw
25%
4.34
Away
51%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.98
Over 2.5
58%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.46
No
42%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
11%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
13%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
27%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
18%
+5.2pp
25%
Draw
20%
+5.2pp
51%
Away Win
62%
-10.3pp
42%
Under 2.5
30%
+11.6pp
58%
Over 2.5
70%
-11.6pp
58%
BTTS Yes
64%
-6.7pp
42%
BTTS No
36%
+6.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shatin SA EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Kowloon City EU Bookmakers 66%
-32% / -32% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +10%
0.38/2.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.26/0.76
-61% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +61%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
273 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 386 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shatin SA
0W-0D-3L
AWAY Kowloon City
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.33
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 3
03.12.2023 Kowloon City Kowloon City 3-2 HT 3-1 Shatin SA Shatin SA HK2
26.03.2023 Kowloon City Kowloon City 4-0 HT 1-0 Shatin SA Shatin SA HK2
04.12.2022 Shatin SA Shatin SA 1-3 HT 0-1 Kowloon City Kowloon City HK2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shatin SA
2-4
AWAY Kowloon City
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 9
7 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Shatin SA vs Kowloon City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kowloon City saw off Shatin SA 4-2 away from home. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Kowloon City as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (58%) came in.

On the day, Shatin SA had 49% of the ball to Kowloon City's 51%, shots finished 13-14.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Kowloon City led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Shatin SA and 3.33 for Kowloon City.

What was the final score of Shatin SA vs Kowloon City?

Shatin SA 2-4 Kowloon City in the Hong Kong - HKFA 1st Division on 04/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shatin SA vs Kowloon City?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kowloon City win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Shatin SA 24%, draw 25%, Kowloon City 51%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kowloon City), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Kowloon City) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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