Motagua vs Genesis PN Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Motagua v Genesis PN — Team-Based Signals
Motagua vs Genesis PN Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Motagua
HON
Motagua
HON
2-1
HT 2-0
Genesis PN
HON
Motagua
HON
0-0
HT 0-0
Genesis PN
HON
Motagua
HON
Motagua squeezed past Genesis PN 4-3. Half-time: 3-1. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Motagua as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 4-3 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Motagua had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Motagua and 0.50 for Genesis PN.
What was the final score of Motagua vs Genesis PN?
Motagua 4-3 Genesis PN in the Honduras - National League Apertura on 05/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Motagua vs Genesis PN?
Before kick-off our model rated a Motagua win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Motagua 57%, draw 22%, Genesis PN 20%. The final score 4-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Motagua), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.