CD Victoria 2-2 Olancho — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Honduras - National League Apertura, 5 Oct 2025

📅05/10/2025 · 🕒02:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
3.32
Draw
18%
3.35
Away
43%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.95
Over 2.5
53%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.68
No
46%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
8%
X/2
18%
X/X
4%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
27%
+12.5pp
18%
Draw
26%
-8.7pp
43%
Away Win
47%
-3.8pp
47%
Under 2.5
48%
-0.1pp
53%
Over 2.5
52%
+0.1pp
54%
BTTS Yes
56%
-1.9pp
46%
BTTS No
44%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CD Victoria EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Olancho EU Bookmakers 51%
+5% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -14%
1.08/1.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.04
+14% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -30% / -5%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
242 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CD Victoria
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Olancho
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
28.07.2025 Olancho Olancho 3-0 HT 2-0 CD Victoria CD Victoria HON
06.03.2025 Olancho Olancho 0-2 HT 0-0 CD Victoria CD Victoria HON
19.01.2025 CD Victoria CD Victoria 1-1 HT 0-0 Olancho Olancho HON
11.11.2024 Olancho Olancho 3-0 HT 1-0 CD Victoria CD Victoria HON
16.09.2024 CD Victoria CD Victoria 3-2 HT 2-0 Olancho Olancho HON
04.04.2024 Olancho Olancho 3-0 HT 0-0 CD Victoria CD Victoria HON
POST-MATCH CD Victoria vs Olancho
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CD Victoria and Olancho couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (39% / 18% / 43%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Olancho led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for CD Victoria and 2.00 for Olancho.

What was the final score of CD Victoria vs Olancho?

CD Victoria 2-2 Olancho in the Honduras - National League Apertura on 05/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CD Victoria vs Olancho?

Before kick-off our model rated an Olancho win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split CD Victoria 39%, draw 18%, Olancho 43%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Olancho) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Olancho) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
HON More Honduras - National League Apertura
5 Oct 2025
04:30 Motagua vs Genesis PN Analysis →