Olancho 3-0 CD Victoria — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Honduras - National League Apertura, 28 Jul 2025

📅28/07/2025 · 🕒02:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.61
Draw
31%
3.64
Away
18%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.78
Over 2.5
44%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.99
No
54%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
5%
1/X
13%
X/1
10%
X/2
5%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
58%
-7.2pp
31%
Draw
24%
+6.9pp
18%
Away Win
18%
+0.3pp
56%
Under 2.5
52%
+3.9pp
44%
Over 2.5
48%
-3.9pp
46%
BTTS Yes
46%
-0.1pp
54%
BTTS No
54%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Olancho EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY CD Victoria EU Bookmakers 21%
-8% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +3%
1.91/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/1.79
-5% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -3%
58% Ball Possession 42%
18 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 7
7 Corners 4
290 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 241 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Olancho
3W-1D-2L
AWAY CD Victoria
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
06.03.2025 Olancho Olancho 0-2 HT 0-0 CD Victoria CD Victoria HON
19.01.2025 CD Victoria CD Victoria 1-1 HT 0-0 Olancho Olancho HON
11.11.2024 Olancho Olancho 3-0 HT 1-0 CD Victoria CD Victoria HON
16.09.2024 CD Victoria CD Victoria 3-2 HT 2-0 Olancho Olancho HON
04.04.2024 Olancho Olancho 3-0 HT 0-0 CD Victoria CD Victoria HON
04.02.2024 CD Victoria CD Victoria 0-1 HT 0-1 Olancho Olancho HON
POST-MATCH Olancho vs CD Victoria
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Olancho cruised past CD Victoria 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Olancho as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Olancho had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Olancho and 1.00 for CD Victoria.

What was the final score of Olancho vs CD Victoria?

Olancho 3-0 CD Victoria in the Honduras - National League Apertura on 28/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Olancho vs CD Victoria?

Before kick-off our model rated a Olancho win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Olancho 51%, draw 31%, CD Victoria 18%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Olancho), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Olancho) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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