Olancho 0-2 CD Victoria — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Honduras - National League Apertura, 6 Mar 2025

📅06/03/2025 · 🕒02:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.86
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
28%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.74
Over 2.5
47%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.88
No
48%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
50%
-3.8pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.1pp
28%
Away Win
24%
+4.9pp
53%
Under 2.5
54%
-0.5pp
47%
Over 2.5
46%
+0.5pp
52%
BTTS Yes
49%
+2.7pp
48%
BTTS No
51%
-2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Olancho EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY CD Victoria EU Bookmakers 27%
+6% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -23%
1.28/0.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.54
-19% / +49% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / -15%
54% Ball Possession 46%
17 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
373 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 264 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Olancho
3W-1D-2L
AWAY CD Victoria
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
19.01.2025 CD Victoria CD Victoria 1-1 HT 0-0 Olancho Olancho HON
11.11.2024 Olancho Olancho 3-0 HT 1-0 CD Victoria CD Victoria HON
16.09.2024 CD Victoria CD Victoria 3-2 HT 2-0 Olancho Olancho HON
04.04.2024 Olancho Olancho 3-0 HT 0-0 CD Victoria CD Victoria HON
04.02.2024 CD Victoria CD Victoria 0-1 HT 0-1 Olancho Olancho HON
01.10.2023 Olancho Olancho 0-2 HT 0-1 CD Victoria CD Victoria HON
POST-MATCH Olancho vs CD Victoria
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CD Victoria got the better of Olancho 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Olancho at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Olancho had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Olancho and 1.00 for CD Victoria.

What was the final score of Olancho vs CD Victoria?

Olancho 0-2 CD Victoria in the Honduras - National League Apertura on 06/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Olancho vs CD Victoria?

Before kick-off our model rated a Olancho win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Olancho 46%, draw 26%, CD Victoria 28%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Olancho), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Olancho) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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