CD Victoria 1-1 Olancho — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Honduras - National League Apertura, 19 Jan 2025

📅19/01/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.57
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
30%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.82
Over 2.5
53%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.73
No
48%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
35%
+8.3pp
27%
Draw
28%
-1.0pp
30%
Away Win
37%
-7.3pp
47%
Under 2.5
51%
-4.4pp
53%
Over 2.5
49%
+4.4pp
52%
BTTS Yes
54%
-1.6pp
48%
BTTS No
46%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CD Victoria EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Olancho EU Bookmakers 40%
+7% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / +0%
1.52/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.82/0.88
+18% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -31% / +29%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
292 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CD Victoria
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Olancho
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
11.11.2024 Olancho Olancho 3-0 HT 1-0 CD Victoria CD Victoria HON
16.09.2024 CD Victoria CD Victoria 3-2 HT 2-0 Olancho Olancho HON
04.04.2024 Olancho Olancho 3-0 HT 0-0 CD Victoria CD Victoria HON
04.02.2024 CD Victoria CD Victoria 0-1 HT 0-1 Olancho Olancho HON
01.10.2023 Olancho Olancho 0-2 HT 0-1 CD Victoria CD Victoria HON
05.08.2023 CD Victoria CD Victoria 1-1 HT 0-0 Olancho Olancho HON
POST-MATCH CD Victoria vs Olancho
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CD Victoria and Olancho couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was CD Victoria at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Olancho led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for CD Victoria and 1.67 for Olancho.

What was the final score of CD Victoria vs Olancho?

CD Victoria 1-1 Olancho in the Honduras - National League Apertura on 19/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CD Victoria vs Olancho?

Before kick-off our model rated a CD Victoria win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split CD Victoria 43%, draw 27%, Olancho 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (CD Victoria), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (CD Victoria) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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