Real Espana 1-1 Genesis PN — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Honduras - National League Apertura, 19 Jan 2025

📅19/01/2025 · 🕒04:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.53
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
25%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.64
Over 2.5
49%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.29
No
51%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
7%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
61%
-10.9pp
25%
Draw
24%
+0.8pp
25%
Away Win
15%
+10.0pp
51%
Under 2.5
57%
-6.2pp
49%
Over 2.5
43%
+6.2pp
49%
BTTS Yes
40%
+9.4pp
51%
BTTS No
60%
-9.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Espana EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Genesis PN EU Bookmakers 18%
-1% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +4%
1.76/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.67
-16% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / +9%
57% Ball Possession 43%
17 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
398 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 267 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Real Espana
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Genesis PN
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
08.12.2024 Real Espana Real Espana 2-0 HT 1-0 Genesis PN HON
05.12.2024 Genesis PN 1-1 HT 0-1 Real Espana Real Espana HON
27.10.2024 Genesis PN 1-1 HT 0-0 Real Espana Real Espana HON
18.08.2024 Real Espana Real Espana 1-0 HT 1-0 Genesis PN HON
24.04.2024 Real Espana Real Espana 2-1 HT 2-0 Genesis PN HON
29.02.2024 Genesis PN 1-0 HT 0-0 Real Espana Real Espana HON
POST-MATCH Real Espana vs Genesis PN
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Espana and Genesis PN couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Real Espana at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Real Espana had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Real Espana and 0.67 for Genesis PN.

What was the final score of Real Espana vs Genesis PN?

Real Espana 1-1 Genesis PN in the Honduras - National League Apertura on 19/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Espana vs Genesis PN?

Before kick-off our model rated a Real Espana win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Real Espana 50%, draw 25%, Genesis PN 25%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Real Espana), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Real Espana) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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