Genesis PN 1-0 Real Espana — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Honduras - National League Apertura, 29 Feb 2024

📅29/02/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.84
Draw
23%
3.18
Away
38%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.75
Over 2.5
46%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.76
No
48%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
13%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
20%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
31%
+8.0pp
23%
Draw
28%
-4.9pp
38%
Away Win
41%
-3.1pp
54%
Under 2.5
53%
+1.0pp
46%
Over 2.5
47%
-1.0pp
52%
BTTS Yes
53%
-0.7pp
48%
BTTS No
47%
+0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Genesis PN EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Espana EU Bookmakers 45%
-26% / -26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +5%
1.00/1.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.93/1.60
-17% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +34% / -32%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
282 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 350 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Genesis PN
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Real Espana
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
24.10.2023 Real Espana Real Espana 0-0 HT 0-0 Genesis PN HON
28.08.2023 Genesis PN 2-1 HT 2-0 Real Espana Real Espana HON
POST-MATCH Genesis PN vs Real Espana
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Genesis PN nicked a narrow win over Real Espana 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 23% / 38% — and on the day Genesis PN made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Genesis PN had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Genesis PN and 0.50 for Real Espana.

What was the final score of Genesis PN vs Real Espana?

Genesis PN 1-0 Real Espana in the Honduras - National League Apertura on 29/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Genesis PN vs Real Espana?

Before kick-off our model rated a Genesis PN win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Genesis PN 39%, draw 23%, Real Espana 38%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Genesis PN), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Genesis PN) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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