CD Real Sociedad 1-3 Motagua — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Honduras - National League Apertura, 29 Feb 2024

📅29/02/2024 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 0-4
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.17
Draw
21%
3.28
Away
48%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.78
Over 2.5
53%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.81
No
52%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
17%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
23%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
28%
+2.8pp
22%
Draw
27%
-5.2pp
48%
Away Win
45%
+2.5pp
47%
Under 2.5
52%
-5.2pp
53%
Over 2.5
48%
+5.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.4pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CD Real Sociedad EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Motagua EU Bookmakers 49%
-3% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +8%
1.41/1.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.95/0.87
+20% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +34% / +27%
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
282 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 356 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CD Real Sociedad
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Motagua
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
43% Ball Possession 57%
6 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 0
13.11.2023 CD Real Sociedad CD Real Sociedad 3-2 HT 0-1 Motagua Motagua HON
17.09.2023 Motagua Motagua 0-0 HT 0-0 CD Real Sociedad CD Real Sociedad HON
17.04.2023 Motagua Motagua 2-2 HT 2-1 CD Real Sociedad CD Real Sociedad HON
16.02.2023 CD Real Sociedad CD Real Sociedad 0-0 HT 0-0 Motagua Motagua HON
04.09.2022 CD Real Sociedad CD Real Sociedad 1-2 HT 1-0 Motagua Motagua HON
01.05.2022 Motagua Motagua 6-0 HT 2-0 CD Real Sociedad CD Real Sociedad HON
POST-MATCH CD Real Sociedad vs Motagua
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Motagua got the better of CD Real Sociedad 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Motagua as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Motagua led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for CD Real Sociedad and 2.00 for Motagua.

What was the final score of CD Real Sociedad vs Motagua?

CD Real Sociedad 1-3 Motagua in the Honduras - National League Apertura on 29/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CD Real Sociedad vs Motagua?

Before kick-off our model rated an Motagua win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split CD Real Sociedad 31%, draw 22%, Motagua 48%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Motagua), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Motagua) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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