Real Espana 1-0 Genesis PN — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Honduras - National League Apertura, 18 Aug 2024

📅18/08/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.75
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
25%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.71
Over 2.5
40%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.96
No
54%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
18%
X/2
8%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
53%
-5.9pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.1pp
25%
Away Win
21%
+3.8pp
60%
Under 2.5
55%
+5.3pp
40%
Over 2.5
45%
-5.3pp
46%
BTTS Yes
47%
-1.4pp
54%
BTTS No
53%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Espana EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Genesis PN EU Bookmakers 24%
+8% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
2.00/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/1.18
+14% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / +48%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 3
366 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 237 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Real Espana
1W-1D-2L
AWAY Genesis PN
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
24.04.2024 Real Espana Real Espana 2-1 HT 2-0 Genesis PN HON
29.02.2024 Genesis PN 1-0 HT 0-0 Real Espana Real Espana HON
24.10.2023 Real Espana Real Espana 0-0 HT 0-0 Genesis PN HON
28.08.2023 Genesis PN 2-1 HT 2-0 Real Espana Real Espana HON
POST-MATCH Real Espana vs Genesis PN
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Espana nicked a narrow win over Genesis PN 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Real Espana as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Genesis PN led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Real Espana and 1.00 for Genesis PN.

What was the final score of Real Espana vs Genesis PN?

Real Espana 1-0 Genesis PN in the Honduras - National League Apertura on 18/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Espana vs Genesis PN?

Before kick-off our model rated a Real Espana win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Real Espana 47%, draw 28%, Genesis PN 25%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Real Espana), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Real Espana) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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