Lobos UPNFM vs Marathon Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Lobos UPNFM v Marathon — Team-Based Signals
Lobos UPNFM vs Marathon Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-0
HT 2-0
Lobos UPNFM
HON
1-3
HT 0-2
Marathon
HON
1-1
HT 0-0
Lobos UPNFM
HON
2-1
HT 2-0
Marathon
HON
Lobos UPNFM saw off Marathon 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Marathon at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Marathon led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Lobos UPNFM and 2.00 for Marathon.
What was the final score of Lobos UPNFM vs Marathon?
Lobos UPNFM 2-0 Marathon in the Honduras - National League Apertura on 18/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Lobos UPNFM vs Marathon?
Before kick-off our model rated an Marathon win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Lobos UPNFM 29%, draw 24%, Marathon 47%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Marathon) went the other way.