Juticalpa 1-0 CD Victoria — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Honduras - National League Apertura, 18 Aug 2024

📅18/08/2024 · 🕒04:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.19
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
37%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.78
Over 2.5
43%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.76
No
56%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
14%
X/2
12%
X/X
15%
2/1
4%
2/2
20%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
42%
-4.4pp
26%
Draw
28%
-1.5pp
37%
Away Win
31%
+5.8pp
57%
Under 2.5
52%
+4.2pp
43%
Over 2.5
48%
-4.2pp
44%
BTTS Yes
53%
-8.8pp
56%
BTTS No
47%
+8.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Juticalpa EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY CD Victoria EU Bookmakers 34%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
1.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.76/1.51
-29% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +51% / -12%
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
370 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.0
POST-MATCH Juticalpa vs CD Victoria
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Juticalpa nicked a narrow win over CD Victoria 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 26% / 37% — and on the day Juticalpa made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

What was the final score of Juticalpa vs CD Victoria?

Juticalpa 1-0 CD Victoria in the Honduras - National League Apertura on 18/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Juticalpa vs CD Victoria?

Before kick-off our model rated a Juticalpa win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Juticalpa 37%, draw 26%, CD Victoria 37%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (37/26/37) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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