Lobos UPNFM vs Marathon Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Lobos UPNFM v Marathon — Team-Based Signals
Lobos UPNFM vs Marathon Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-0
HT 2-0
Lobos UPNFM
HON
1-3
HT 0-2
Marathon
HON
1-1
HT 0-0
Lobos UPNFM
HON
2-1
HT 2-0
Marathon
HON
2-1
HT 0-0
Marathon
HON
Marathon squeezed past Lobos UPNFM 1-0 away from home.
We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 28% / 37% — and on the day Marathon made the difference.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Marathon led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Lobos UPNFM and 2.00 for Marathon.
What was the final score of Lobos UPNFM vs Marathon?
Lobos UPNFM 0-1 Marathon in the Honduras - National League Apertura on 10/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Lobos UPNFM vs Marathon?
Before kick-off our model rated an Marathon win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Lobos UPNFM 36%, draw 28%, Marathon 37%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Marathon), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.