Genesis PN 1-1 Real Espana — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Honduras - National League Apertura, 27 Oct 2024

Genesis PN
1-1 HT 0-0
Real Espana
📅27/10/2024 · 🕒02:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Honduras - National League Apertura – 2025/2026

Genesis PN vs Real Espana Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.84
Draw
25%
3.11
Away
38%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.67
Over 2.5
44%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.88
No
54%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
13%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
19%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
32%
+5.2pp
25%
Draw
29%
-3.8pp
38%
Away Win
39%
-1.5pp
56%
Under 2.5
56%
-0.3pp
44%
Over 2.5
44%
+0.3pp
46%
BTTS Yes
49%
-3.2pp
54%
BTTS No
51%
+3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Genesis PN v Real Espana — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Genesis PN EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Espana EU Bookmakers 43%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -3%
0.65/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.58/1.28
-44% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / -19%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
322 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 273 · 72%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 2.0

Genesis PN vs Real Espana Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Genesis PN
2W-1D-2L
AWAY Real Espana
0.80 Avg Goals (FT) 0.80
The Meetings
18.08.2024 Real Espana Real Espana 1-0 HT 1-0 Genesis PN HON
24.04.2024 Real Espana Real Espana 2-1 HT 2-0 Genesis PN HON
29.02.2024 Genesis PN 1-0 HT 0-0 Real Espana Real Espana HON
24.10.2023 Real Espana Real Espana 0-0 HT 0-0 Genesis PN HON
28.08.2023 Genesis PN 2-1 HT 2-0 Real Espana Real Espana HON
POST-MATCH Genesis PN vs Real Espana
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Genesis PN and Real Espana couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match split (37% / 25% / 38%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.80 goals for Genesis PN and 0.80 for Real Espana.

What was the final score of Genesis PN vs Real Espana?

Genesis PN 1-1 Real Espana in the Honduras - National League Apertura on 27/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Genesis PN vs Real Espana?

Before kick-off our model rated an Real Espana win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Genesis PN 37%, draw 25%, Real Espana 38%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Real Espana), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Real Espana) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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