Motagua 1-1 CD Olimpia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Honduras - National League Apertura, 27 Oct 2024

📅27/10/2024 · 🕒04:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.38
Draw
32%
3.11
Away
38%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.9
Over 2.5
50%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.66
No
43%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
9%
1/X
10%
X/1
9%
X/2
8%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
21%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
38%
-8.1pp
32%
Draw
29%
+3.1pp
38%
Away Win
33%
+5.1pp
50%
Under 2.5
49%
+0.9pp
50%
Over 2.5
51%
-0.9pp
57%
BTTS Yes
56%
+0.3pp
43%
BTTS No
44%
-0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Motagua EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY CD Olimpia EU Bookmakers 37%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +4%
1.63/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/0.84
+17% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +39%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
306 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 373 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 4.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Motagua
0W-3D-3L
AWAY CD Olimpia
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
19.08.2024 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia 1-1 HT 0-1 Motagua Motagua HON
12.05.2024 Motagua Motagua 3-4 HT 2-1 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia HON
09.05.2024 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia 3-3 HT 2-0 Motagua Motagua HON
22.04.2024 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia 2-2 HT 0-1 Motagua Motagua HON
25.02.2024 Motagua Motagua 0-2 HT 0-1 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia HON
22.12.2023 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia 2-1 HT 0-1 Motagua Motagua HON
POST-MATCH Motagua vs CD Olimpia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Motagua and CD Olimpia shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match split (30% / 32% / 38%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged both teams to score (57%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, CD Olimpia led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Motagua and 2.33 for CD Olimpia.

What was the final score of Motagua vs CD Olimpia?

Motagua 1-1 CD Olimpia in the Honduras - National League Apertura on 27/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Motagua vs CD Olimpia?

Before kick-off our model rated an CD Olimpia win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Motagua 30%, draw 32%, CD Olimpia 38%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (CD Olimpia) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (CD Olimpia) ✓ BTTS Yes
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