CD Olimpia 1-1 Motagua — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Honduras - National League Apertura, 19 Aug 2024

📅19/08/2024 · 🕒02:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.89
Draw
31%
3.54
Away
26%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.15
Over 2.5
52%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.6
No
45%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
9%
X/X
17%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
49%
-6.1pp
31%
Draw
25%
+5.8pp
26%
Away Win
26%
+0.4pp
48%
Under 2.5
43%
+4.9pp
52%
Over 2.5
57%
-4.9pp
55%
BTTS Yes
58%
-3.1pp
45%
BTTS No
42%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CD Olimpia EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Motagua EU Bookmakers 29%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / -2%
1.94/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.23
+20% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +21%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
325 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CD Olimpia
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Motagua
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
12.05.2024 Motagua Motagua 3-4 HT 2-1 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia HON
09.05.2024 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia 3-3 HT 2-0 Motagua Motagua HON
22.04.2024 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia 2-2 HT 0-1 Motagua Motagua HON
25.02.2024 Motagua Motagua 0-2 HT 0-1 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia HON
22.12.2023 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia 2-1 HT 0-1 Motagua Motagua HON
18.12.2023 Motagua Motagua 0-0 HT 0-0 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia HON
POST-MATCH CD Olimpia vs Motagua
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CD Olimpia and Motagua shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was CD Olimpia at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, CD Olimpia had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for CD Olimpia and 1.50 for Motagua.

What was the final score of CD Olimpia vs Motagua?

CD Olimpia 1-1 Motagua in the Honduras - National League Apertura on 19/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CD Olimpia vs Motagua?

Before kick-off our model rated a CD Olimpia win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split CD Olimpia 43%, draw 31%, Motagua 26%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (CD Olimpia), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (CD Olimpia) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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