Marathon vs Lobos UPNFM Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Marathon v Lobos UPNFM — Team-Based Signals
Marathon vs Lobos UPNFM Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-0
HT 2-0
Lobos UPNFM
HON
1-3
HT 0-2
Marathon
HON
1-1
HT 0-0
Lobos UPNFM
HON
Lobos UPNFM edged past Marathon 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Marathon at 57% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Marathon had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Marathon and 0.83 for Lobos UPNFM.
What was the final score of Marathon vs Lobos UPNFM?
Marathon 1-2 Lobos UPNFM in the Honduras - National League Apertura on 27/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Marathon vs Lobos UPNFM?
Before kick-off our model rated a Marathon win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Marathon 57%, draw 27%, Lobos UPNFM 16%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.