Genesis PN 1-1 Real Espana — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Honduras - National League Apertura, 5 Dec 2024

Genesis PN
1-1 HT 0-1
Real Espana
📅05/12/2024 · 🕒05:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✓ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Honduras - National League Apertura – 2025/2026

Genesis PN vs Real Espana Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.53
Draw
30%
2.94
Away
38%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.48
Over 2.5
50%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
2.13
No
48%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
9%
X/2
16%
X/X
11%
2/1
12%
2/2
18%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
36%
-3.9pp
30%
Draw
30%
-1.0pp
38%
Away Win
34%
+4.9pp
50%
Under 2.5
64%
-13.9pp
50%
Over 2.5
36%
+13.9pp
52%
BTTS Yes
43%
+9.5pp
48%
BTTS No
57%
-9.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Genesis PN v Real Espana — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Genesis PN EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Espana EU Bookmakers 37%
+15% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -11%
1.29/0.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.37/1.10
-5% / +65% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +25% / +2%
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
309 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 303 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 2.7

Genesis PN vs Real Espana Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Genesis PN
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Real Espana
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
The Meetings
27.10.2024 Genesis PN 1-1 HT 0-0 Real Espana Real Espana HON
18.08.2024 Real Espana Real Espana 1-0 HT 1-0 Genesis PN HON
24.04.2024 Real Espana Real Espana 2-1 HT 2-0 Genesis PN HON
29.02.2024 Genesis PN 1-0 HT 0-0 Real Espana Real Espana HON
24.10.2023 Real Espana Real Espana 0-0 HT 0-0 Genesis PN HON
28.08.2023 Genesis PN 2-1 HT 2-0 Real Espana Real Espana HON
POST-MATCH Genesis PN vs Real Espana
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Genesis PN and Real Espana couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (32% / 30% / 38%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Genesis PN and 0.83 for Real Espana.

What was the final score of Genesis PN vs Real Espana?

Genesis PN 1-1 Real Espana in the Honduras - National League Apertura on 05/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Genesis PN vs Real Espana?

Before kick-off our model rated an Real Espana win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Genesis PN 32%, draw 30%, Real Espana 38%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Real Espana) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Real Espana) ✓ BTTS Yes
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HON More Honduras - National League Apertura
5 Dec 2024
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